NFL Picks, week three

Well, I'm only five games back. And with the bye weeks starting, I can't possibly go down by more than...let's see...eight weeks times fourteen games a week...hmmm...112 games!

Atlanta at Buffalo: As Chris (obviously wisely) put it last week, in a defensive struggle, pick the home team. Atlanta, believe it or not, has a good defense. BUF
Carolina at Miami: Last week's win over the Patriots? No fluke. CAR
Cincinnati at Chicago: I can't believe I picked the Vikings to beat the Bengals. Oh, that's right, everyone did. CIN
Cleveland at Indianapolis: I was just in Indianapolis. It's a very clean city. Not unlike Cleveland, actually, if you understand that by "unlike" I mean, "at all like." IND
Jacksonville at N.Y. Jets: Chad Pennington is an off-again on-again player right now, alternately looking good and gimpy. Byron Leftwich, on the other hand, is a born leader and a badass to the bone. JAX
New Orleans at Minnesota: Three straight road games, three straight decent performances. Randy Moss isn't what's missing in Minnesota, because Scott Linehan's the genius who left. NO
Oakland at Philadelphia: According to Dr. Z, this is a matchup of the number 6 and 7 receivers in the league. I look at it as more of a test as how well Randy Moss can handle being 0-3. PHI
Tampa Bay at Green Bay: Green Bay's players have to know that if they lose this game, their playoff hopes are totally shot, and Brett Favre will look like maybe it's time for that consecutive games streak to end. Tampa's players are only looking to prove that the team is back in the hunt for the playoffs. Since the Packers have more riding on this game, I'm going with them to win. GB
Tennessee at St. Louis: Saint Louis is not the greatest show on turf anymore, but one stat that gets overlooked a lot is that Marc Bulger is 19-2 at home as a starter. STL
Arizona at Seattle: I want Kurt Warner to win, but winning an away game, with his awful line, against a decent Seahawks team, is going to be hard. SEA
Dallas at San Francisco: I was explaining to Kirsten why Mike Nolan can't wear a suit on the sidelines at his games, instead of those idiotic staff polo shirts that NFL Properties force coaches to wear. That has nothing to do with why the 'Boys will take out their frustrations on the hapless Forty-Niners. DAL
New England at Pittsburgh: Roethlismagic? Sure, why not? PIT
N.Y. Giants at San Diego:: Can Eli handle the boo birds? I'm not convinced. SD
Kansas City at Denver: I did some research into past pairings, and learned that in the last 22 years, there have been 3 major heat waves that hit Kansas City: 1983, 88, and 93. Each of those years, the Chiefs lost to the Broncos in Denver, probably because they'd practiced in intense heat and thick air, and weren't getting what they needed in terms of oxygen in Denver. I'm willing to wager that the Broncos will win this one, too, in this other intense and dry summer. DEN.